Trade the Cycles

Friday, October 13, 2006

The XAU's Upside Gap At 129.18 From 10-3 Got Filled

The XAU filled it's important upside gap at 129.18 from 10-3 today, which means that Wave A of it's Wave 2 Cyclical Bear Market since 5-11-06 (see third chart at http://www.joefrocks.com/GoldStockCharts.html) probably bottomed on 10-4-06 at 117.44, whereas HUI's will have probably bottomed on 6-13-06. Both HUI and the XAU probably have important double bottoms on June 13/October 4.

The XAU and HUI have been in a Wave 2 Cyclical Bear Market since 5-11-06 and reliable lead indicator NEM was (until 10-4-06) in a Wave 2 Cyclical Bear Market since 1-31-06 (probably ended at 39.84 on Wednesday 10-4). NEM's Secular Bull Market/very long term upcycle trendline is currently at 40ish (see second chart at http://www.joefrocks.com/GoldStockCharts.html).

For recent action see http://finance.yahoo.com/q/ta?s=%5Exau&t=5d&l=off&z=l&q=b&p=&a=m26-12-9%2Cp12%2Cfs%2Cw14&c=. ....... http://www.JoeFRocks.com/