............Weakness Likely Early On Monday

The NEM Lead Indicator was a bearish -0.57% vs the XAU today, which indicates that more wave A downside on Monday won't be surprising, or, at least a test of the cycle lows is likely. The NEM Lead Indicator was a modestly bullish +0.43% vs the XAU yesterday, was a slightly bullish +0.21% vs the XAU on Wednesday, was a very bullish +1.03% vs the XAU on Tuesday, was a very bearish -1.56% versus the XAU on Monday after being a bearish -0.65% versus the XAU on Friday 9-15. The past fourteen weeks the NEM Lead Indicator is a very bearish -12.70% versus the XAU.

A vicious multi week decline, similar to the one that occurred from 5-11-06 until 6-13-06 for HUI/NEM/XAU, began on 9-6 for HUI/XAU and on 9-5 for reliable lead indicator NEM. Wave A of this major downcycle since 9-6 may still be in effect (may last a few more sessions). Wave B up of the major downcycle since 9-6 might last over a week, Wave B in the prior major downcycle from 5-11-06 until 6-13-06 did, then it's time for the final Wave C down and another brutal decline for HUI/XAU, in which Wave A of their Cyclical Bear Market since 5-11-06 bottoms, probably in the 100-110 range for the XAU. For recent action see http://finance.yahoo.com/q/ta?s=%5Exau&t=5d&l=off&z=l&q=b&p=&a=m26-12-9%2Cp12%2Cfs%2Cw14&c=. ....... http://www.JoeFRocks.com/

HUI NEM XAU