Trade the Cycles

Friday, October 20, 2006

.....................The XAU's One Month Chart

I did the XAU's one month chart that has the monthly upcycle channel, with annotations, see the first chart at http://www.joefrocks.com/GoldStockCharts.html. HUI/XAU probably began the Wave 4 short term downcycle today (shortly after the open), for the monthly upcycle since 10-4-06.

The XAU and HUI have been in a Wave 2 Cyclical Bear Market since 5-11-06 (but began the bullish 3-6 month Wave B up on 10-4-06) and reliable lead indicator NEM was (until 10-4-06) in a Wave 2 Cyclical Bear Market since 1-31-06 (ended at 39.84 on Wednesday 10-4). NEM's Secular Bull Market/very long term upcycle trendline is currently at 40ish (see third chart at http://www.joefrocks.com/GoldStockCharts.html). For recent action see http://finance.yahoo.com/q/ta?s=%5Exau&t=5d&l=off&z=l&q=b&p=&a=m26-12-9%2Cp12%2Cfs%2Cw14&c=. ....... http://www.JoeFRocks.com/