Trade the Cycles

Saturday, October 07, 2006

The Very Bearish One Year NEM Lead Indicator Chart

The one year NEM Lead Indicator chart is very bearish, similar to the way it was in May when the Wave 1 Cyclical Bull Market for HUI/XAU ended and a vicious decline occurred from 5-11-06 until 6-13-06, and, similar to the way it was in September when another vicious decline began on 9-6-06 for HUI/XAU, see http://finance.yahoo.com/q/ta?s=%5EXAU&t=1y&l=off&z=m&q=l&p=&a=&c=%5Ehui,nem.

The past sixteen weeks the NEM Lead Indicator is a very bearish -16.80% versus the XAU. So, another substantial decline will probably occur in the near future, in which the XAU is likely to fall to 100-110 and Wave A of it's Cyclical Bear Market since 5-11-06 bottoms.

The XAU's Secular Bull Market/very long term upcycle trendline is currently at 85-90ish (see second chart at http://www.joefrocks.com/GoldStockCharts.html), so, please keep that in mind. Therefore, the XAU is still 30-35 points above it's primary Secular Bull Market/very long term upcycle (since October 2000) trendline, which is about 25-30%! ....... http://www.JoeFRocks.com/