Trade the Cycles

Monday, July 28, 2008

The NEM Lead Indicator Is "Off The Charts" Bullish Short Term

The NEM Lead Indicator is "off the charts" bullish short term, see http://finance.yahoo.com/q/ta?s=%5EXAU&t=5d&l=on&z=m&q=l&p=&a=&c=%5Ehui,nem, and, NEM created a bullish breakaway gap at 46.95 late last week, see http://finance.yahoo.com/q/ta?s=nem&t=5d&l=off&z=l&q=c&p=&a=p12%2Cfs%2Cw14&c, so, this early strength isn't that surprising.

Based on NEM's Elliott Wave count discussed below, plus GDX/HUI/XAU/GLD's discussed in recent posts, I'm still looking to/might short NEM or GDX today. Today 7-28's intraday NEM Lead Indicator should turn clearly bearish, see http://finance.yahoo.com/q/ta?s=^XAU&t=1d&l=on&z=m&q=l&p=&a=&c=^hui,nem.

NEM is probably (but, NEM created a bullish breakaway gap at 46.95 late last week and the NEM Lead Indicator is "off the charts" bullish short term) in a countertrend Wave B of Wave C of Wave C of the Wave 2 minor intermediate term downcycle since early July (53.77 cycle high), see http://stockcharts.com/charts/gallery.html?nem.

NEM might also be in Wave B of Wave C not Wave B of Wave C of Wave C. This might be the correct count, because GDX/HUI/XAU might have entered a short term Wave B upcycle. I need to look at GDX/HUI/XAU's charts and NEM's chart and put more thought into it.

.......http://www.JoeFRocks.com/

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