Trade the Cycles

Monday, September 18, 2006

The NEM Lead Indicator Is Very Bearish So Far Today

The NEM Lead Indicator is very bearish so far today at -1.00% versus the XAU right now after being -0.65% versus the XAU on Friday. It looks like wave B up of the major correction since 9-6 for HUI/XAU (since 9-5 for reliable lead indicator NEM) began on Friday, but, given the very bearish NEM Lead Indicator right now and Wednesday's Fed FOMC meeting, there's no rush to go long, and, a test of Friday's potential Wave A cycle lows is likely.

The past thirteen weeks the NEM Lead Indicator is a very bearish -12.24% versus the XAU. A vicious multi week decline, similar to the one that occurred from 5-11-06 until 6-13-06 for HUI/NEM/XAU, began on 9-6 for HUI/XAU and on 9-5 for reliable lead indicator NEM. Wave A of this major correction since 9-6 may still be in effect (may last a few more sessions). Wave B up of the major correction since 9-6 might last over a week, Wave B in the prior major correction from 5-11-06 until 6-13-06 did, then it's time for the final Wave C down and another brutal decline for HUI/XAU, in which Wave A of their Cyclical Bear Market since 5-11-06 bottoms, probably in the 100-110 range for the XAU. For recent action see http://finance.yahoo.com/q/ta?s=%5Exau&t=5d&l=off&z=l&q=b&p=&a=m26-12-9%2Cp12%2Cfs%2Cw14&c=. ....... http://www.JoeFRocks.com/