Trade the Cycles

Thursday, August 24, 2006

NEM Lead Indicator = Bearish -0.53% Versus The XAU Today

The headfake rally that began early last Friday 8-18 (See http://finance.yahoo.com/q/ta?s=%5EXAU&t=5d&l=off&z=l&q=c&p=&a=m26-12-9,p12,fs,w14&c) peaked yesterday. Watch NEM's downside gap at 50.71 from 8-21 and the XAU's downside gap at 140.77 from 8-21, which are likely to get filled in the next few days.

The past nine weeks and four days the NEM Lead Indicator is a very bearish -10.41% vs the XAU. There shouldn't be much relief for longs until Wave A down of the Wave 2 Cyclical Bear Market (since 5-11-06 for HUI/XAU and since 1-31-06 for reliable lead indicator NEM) bottoms in the 100-110 range (XAU) in the next few weeks. For recent action see http://finance.yahoo.com/q/ta?s=%5Exau&t=5d&l=off&z=l&q=b&p=&a=m26-12-9%2Cp12%2Cfs%2Cw14&c=. ....... http://www.JoeFRocks.com/