Trade the Cycles

Thursday, June 01, 2006

Sharp Decline As Expected And Fed Punch Spiking

As they always do on Thursday: http://www.newyorkfed.org/markets/omo/dmm/temp.cfm, with $16 Billion in Repos. HUI/XAU's Wave 2 down of Wave B may have bottomed today. Wave B's Wave 2 down began on Tuesday for HUI/XAU.

Wave B up began on Monday 5-22 for HUI/XAU, with the XAU's cycle low on Monday 5-22 at 133.17 forming a near perfect double bottom with Wednesday 5-24's cycle low at 133.19, and, HUI also has a double bottom. For recent action see http://finance.yahoo.com/q/ta?t=5d&l=off&z=m&q=c&p=&a=m26-12-9%2Cp12%2Cfs%2Cw14&c=&s=%5Exau.

Notice how closely the XAU tracked SPX (S & P 500) recently: http://finance.yahoo.com/q/ta?t=5d&s=%5EXAU&l=off&z=m&q=c&a=m26-12-9&a=p12&a=fs&a=w14&c=&c=%5EGSPC.

The NEM Lead Indicator was a slightly bearish -0.08% vs the XAU on 5-31, was a slightly bearish -0.21% vs the XAU on 5-30, was a slightly bullish +0.10% on 5-26, was a bullish +0.29% on 5-25, was a bullish +0.79% vs the XAU on 5-24, a bearish -1.04% on on 5-23, and, was a combined bullish +1.20% the prior two sessions. The XAU has a downside gap at 135.54 from 5-25 that may get filled in the next few sessions and has a downside gap at 130.03 from 3-24 that shouldn't get filled until Wave C. NEM has a downside gap at 49.53 from 5-25 that may get filled in the next few sessions. ....... http://www.JoeFRocks.com/