Trade the Cycles

Tuesday, January 31, 2006

..........Big Spikes Tend To Occur At Cycle Highs

and the more important the cycle high the bigger the spike tends to be. In the face of a very bearish NEM Lead Indicator at -4.36% vs the XAU two weeks ago, the gold Commercial Traders shorting over 11,000 futures/options contracts two weeks ago, and 1-18's 2% monthly cycle sell signal, how could one trade long overnight/multi-day merely based on 1-26's massive $23 Billion in Repos? I guess I might have done a day trade long on 1-26 if Fed Credit wasn't such a new indicator for me, but that's about it. As a gold/silver stock trader, risk has been very high in recent days, both for trading long and short.

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