Trade the Cycles

Wednesday, December 28, 2005

NEM Outperformed The XAU By A Very Bullish +1.04% Today

Which strongly suggests that HUI and the XAU have more upside, though probably not much. Index funds were major contributors to the recent strength, just as they were major contributors to yesterday's weakness:

http://finance.yahoo.com/q/ta?t=5d&s=%5EXAU&l=off&z=l&q=b&a=m26-12-9&a=p12&a=fs&a=w14&c=%5Ehui%2C+NEM&c=%5EGSPC

This monthly upcycle peaking in rollover mode thanks partly/maybe largely due to index fund buying is exactly what happened in the prior monthly upcycle as I said before.

Notice how NEM led to the upside today which was probably due to index funds buying NEM:

http://finance.yahoo.com/q/ta?s=^XAU&t=1d&l=on&z=m&q=l&p=&a=&c=^hui,nem

SPX's monthly downcycle since 12-14 should soon turn sharply lower, which should end the gold/silver stock monthly upcycle very soon due to index funds selling their gold/silver stocks. SPX fell a few points at session's end which points to weakness/a downtrend early tomorrow for gold/silver stocks that could come after a gap up. It doesn't take much movement in SPX (S & P 500) to move gold/silver stocks because index funds are an enormous market. Ciao.

1 Comments:

  • Hi Tom. Good point, but I think if SPX had been down today then things would have been much different for gold/silver stocks. However, SPX may be benefitting some from window dressing, especially since it's year end. Index fund trading is a huge factor.

    By Blogger Joe Ferrazzano, at 12:04 AM  

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