Trade the Cycles

SPX Elliott Wave Count Since the 3-6-09 666.79 Major Cycle Low

2011-02-12T11:55:00.000-08:00

SPX Elliott Wave Count Since the 3-6-09 666.79 Major Cycle Low (Used Short SPX ETF SH), see http://yfrog.com/h22uwp.

"The Chart," SPX Elliott Wave Count Since 10-11-07 1576.09 Cyclical Bull Market Cycle High

2010-10-04T09:14:00.000-07:00

"The Chart," SPX Elliott Wave Count Since 10-11-07 1576.09 Cyclical Bull Market Cycle High, see http://yfrog.com/1xczlp.

Short SPX ETF SH's Elliott Wave Count

2010-09-25T20:21:00.001-07:00

Short SPX ETF SH's Elliott Wave Count Since the 53.98 Cycle High, see http://stockcharts.com/charts/gallery.html?s=sh. Since the 53.98 Cycle High SH has done an inverse Elliott Wave 12345 down up down up down pattern (a huge Wave 3 Downcycle occurred, with it's own inverse Elliott Wave 12345 down up down up down pattern), with a Short Term Wave 5 Downcycle in effect since shortly before Thursday 9-23-10's close.

It looks like SH's Monthly Downcycle will probably bottom and SPX's (S & P 500, http://bit.ly/i0nsT) Monthly Upcycle since 8-27-10 will probably peak shortly after SPX probably fills the 1157.43 upside gap, possibly early on Monday. SPX's big spike move since just before Thursday 9-23-10's close is a sign of important peaking action, and, volume should spike on Monday, if SPX peaks.

SH ETF is Probably in a Big Short Term AND Intermediate Term Wave 3 Upcycle

2010-08-26T09:20:00.000-07:00

SH ETF (short SPX/S & P 500) is probably in a big Short Term AND Intermediate Term Wave 3 Upcycle, very bearish for SPX, see http://yfrog.com/jt67wp.

SPX (S & P 500) Thoughts For Saturday 7-24-10

2010-07-25T14:59:00.000-07:00

See http://twitteresque.blogspot.com/2010/07/spx-s-p-500-thoughts-for-saturday-7-24.html.

SPX Barely Took Out 6-3-10's 1105.67 Cycle High Today

2010-06-14T13:34:00.000-07:00

SPX (S & P 500, http://bit.ly/i0nsT) barely took out 6-3-10's 1105.67 cycle high today 6-14-10, but, the upcycle since 5-25-10's 1040.78 cycle low appears to be bearish funky counter trend action (it's a bearish looking candle pattern); it's probably Wave 4 (and Wave B) up of the Intermediate Term Downcycle since 4-26-10's 1219.80 cycle high, see http://bit.ly/i0nsT.

SPX is Probably in Wave 5 Down of the Intermediate Term Downcycle

2010-06-07T15:14:00.000-07:00

SPX (S & P 500, http://bit.ly/i0nsT) is Probably in Wave 5 Down, since 6-3-10's 1105.67 cycle high, of the Intermediate Term Downcycle since 4-26-10's 1219.80 cycle high (down up down up down pattern), see http://bit.ly/i0nsT. Today's below average SPX volume, at 4.624 billion shares vs the 60 day EMA at 4.779 billion shares, indicates that more downside is likely short term, because, volume didn't spike dramatically today.

SPX (S & P 500, http://bit.ly/i0nsT) appears to be in Wave 5 down of the Wave A Downcycle since 6-3-10 (down up down up down pattern), see the five day intra day action candlestick chart http://finance.yahoo.com/q/ta?s=^GSPC&t=5d&l=off&z=l&q=c&p=v&a=fs,w14&c=. So, the Wave A Downcycle since 6-3-10 may bottom tomorrow.

SPX's Monthly Downcycle Since 4-26-10 Might Have Bottomed Today 5-25-10 at 1040.78

2010-05-25T14:17:00.000-07:00

SPX's (S & P 500, http://bit.ly/i0nsT) Monthly Downcycle Since 4-26-10 Might Have Bottomed Today 5-25-10 at 1040.78 (Wave 1 Monthly Cycle Low, if SPX's Major Upcycle since 3-6-09 peaked at 1219.80 on 4-26-10), see http://bit.ly/i0nsT. Note that SPX put in a very large/bullish inverse spike today (much more bullish than Friday's) on a white candle (close above the open), see http://bit.ly/i0nsT.

Also, in addition to doing an inverse Elliott Wave 12345 down up down up down pattern since 4-26-10, SPX's (S & P 500, http://bit.ly/i0nsT) Wave C/ Wave 5 Downcycle since the 1173.57 cycle high also did an inverse Elliott Wave 12345 down up down up down pattern. Also, SPX volume spiked dramatically to over 6 billion shares today, which jives with it being a good candidate for an important cycle low.

SPX's Major Upcycle Since 3-6-09 Probably Peaked at 1219.80 on 4-26-10

2010-05-06T13:18:00.000-07:00

SPX's (S & P 500, http://bit.ly/i0nsT) Major Upcycle Since 3-6-09 Probably Peaked at 1219.80 on 4-26-10, see http://bit.ly/i0nsT. VIX rose an eye popping +31.67% today, which is a very bearish unusually large rise in fear that points to SPX/market weakness early tomorrow.

SPX's (S & P 500, http://bit.ly/i0nsT) huge intra day decline (range was 1167.57 to 1065.79), a crash/decline of -8.72%, is a sign that SPX's (S & P 500, http://bit.ly/i0nsT) Major Upcycle Since 3-6-09 (666.79 Major Cycle Low) Probably Peaked at 1219.80 on 4-26-10, see http://bit.ly/i0nsT.

SPX's Upcycle Since 2-5-10 appears to be a final Wave 5 blowoff spike move

2010-04-05T13:07:00.000-07:00

SPX's (S & P 500) Intermediate Term Upcycle Since 2-5-10 has the look of/appears to be a final Wave 5 blowoff spike move (up down up down up pattern since 3-6-09's major cycle low at 666.79), see http://stockcharts.com/charts/gallery.html?s=spx.

SPX Put in a Bearish Daily Candle Today 3-25-10

2010-03-25T13:10:00.000-07:00

SPX (S & P 500, http://bit.ly/i0nsT) put in a bearish daily candle today 3-25-10, dark (close below the open) with a spike, see http://bit.ly/i0nsT.

The SPX (S & P 500, http://bit.ly/i0nsT) Minor Intermediate Term Upcycle since 2-5-10 (looks like an important final Wave 5 move), and, possibly also the SPX (S & P 500,http://bit.ly/i0nsT) Major Upcycle since 3-6-09, appears to have peaked. SPX closed very near the session cycle low today, which suggests that more downside is likely early tomorrow.

SPX Major Upcycle's Elliott Wave Count = Wave 5

2010-03-18T21:49:00.000-07:00

The SPX (S & P 500) Major Upcycle/Cyclical Bull Market since 3-6-09 appears to be peaking, in the final Wave 5 Intermediate Term Upcycle now, see the new chart one at http://www.JoeFRocks.com/GoldStockCharts.html.

SPX's (S & P 500) Monthly Upcycle Since 2-5-10 is Probably Peaking

2010-03-05T14:57:00.000-08:00

SPX's (S & P 500) Monthly Upcycle since 2-5-10 is probably peaking; SPX is probably in a Short Term Wave 5 Upcycle since 2-25-10, see http://bit.ly/i0nsT.